In dem folgenden Artikel wird recht gut dargelegt, wie der Militaerrat die Faeden in der Hand hat bzw in die Hand nehmen wird, wenn mit der neuen Verfassung begonnen wird, und wie wahrscheinlich ein Deal zwischen Militaer und Islamisten stattfinden wird...
...the military establishment is fighting to keep its 60 years of privileges and sacred status in the aftermath of an unexpected revolution. Meanwhile, the Muslim Brotherhood and the Salafists see the moment as a golden opportunity to (finally) effect huge changes in the country and gain considerable political advantages, especially now that they control 65 per cent of the constituent assembly.
The political analyst says, shrewdly, that the best way to settle such a conflict is to strike a deal that would allow both warring sides to walk away satisfactorily, maximising their gains.
An expert in political science, who asked to speak anonymously because he works closely with decision-making circles, says that this much-speculated deal has, indeed, been brewing for some time.
Both the military council and the Muslim Brotherhood have, according to the source, completed their own, separate versions of a constitution that lays out their distinct visions and goals. Furthermore, they are negotiating over which articles to encrypt in a new charter and who they want to send to the constituent assembly in order to push their desired proposals.
...
Im Kern geht es darum, dass der Artikel 2 der Verfassung, wo es ua um die Rechtsform geht, als Druckmittel fuer alle Seiten genommen wird. SCAF wird nach diesem ungenannten Fachmann so seine Unabhaengigkeit bewahren koennen und am Ende, wenn der Plan aufgeht, sind alle Beteiligten zufrieden (so aenlich wie beim Handeln im Khan el-Khalil

)
Sollte das so nicht klappen, liegt wohl auch schon der Plan B bereit...
Weiterhin wird es darum gehen, wer zukuenftig Aenderungen an der Verassung vornehmen darf:
The head of the Department of Information in the People’s Assembly General Assem El-Geneidy, says that an end to the fight over the status of the military and sharia in the constitution will be immediately followed by an argument over who has the right to pass constitutional amendments in the future.
The SCAF will never agree to the notion that any one body, especially one controlled by the Brotherhood, could control the right to amend the constitution in the future, since this could one day endanger any immunity the generals might gain in the short-term.
...
Der Satz, der mir bei all dem irgendwie am besten gefallen hat, ist
"I would never take part in writing this constitution. I might work on the following constitution. This document will have a short life because it will be a product of a political deal based on short-term special interests," concluded the constitutional expert.
Fuer den Artikel braucht man etwas Ruhe, da er sehr lang ist, doch - soll man der Quelle glauben - wird es ein abgekartetes Spiel werden...
SCAF to jostle Islamists for constitutional privileges
http://en.aswatmasriya.com/analysis/vie ... id=290127d